Gross exposure, credit spreads, and volatility ($VIX) usually dominate headlines when the market starts to shake. But shifts in capital rotation often show up first. The Gold Risk Compass (GRC) is my attempt to track that rotation. It’s a simple cross-asset ratio that compares gold’s strength to a

Signals from Goldman Sachs prime brokerage data are hard to ignore, Mostly because these signals are telling us turbulent times are on the horizon. Gross exposure across its hedge fund client base dropped almost 15% in the past 20 days, making this the largest contraction since the COVID crash in

When companies beat earnings, especially by large margins you'd typically expect that stock to moon. Lately though, that rocket has been blowing up on the launch pad. Spoiler alert: retail traders aren't to blame. The play is simple: Hedge funds load up on puts ahead of

Thesis Companies that rely on ad revenue as their primary source of income (specifically internet ad rev, not billboard companies etc.) are likely going to see a significant decline as bot traffic and AI capabilities increase. acronyms * SMBs: Small & medium businesses * CPM: Cost Per Mille (1k impressions) * ROAS: Return

This report provides a detailed quantitative and qualitative analysis of three AI models—GPT-4o, Gemini, and Grok 3—used to predict the closing price of the $SPY ETF from April 22 to May 30, 2025. The objective is to evaluate model accuracy, confidence calibration, reasoning quality, and directional prediction reliability.